Elections countdown: what the latest polls reveal with 48 hours to go
Brasil de Fato
Within 48 hours, Brazilians will start to choose their successive mayors and councilors, who will be in office for the next four years in the country. The latest polls show that São Paulo – the largest city of Latin America – will probably face second-round voting since three candidates to occupy the chair for one of the biggest cities in Latin American America are in a technical tie. The left wing candidate, supported by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers’ Party), Guilherme Boulos, has 26%. While the current mayor and candidate for reelection, Ricardo Nunes, has 24%.
The far-right candidate influencer Pablo Marçal, who has fallen behind recently since being involved in aggressions and polemics during TV debates, has made a comeback and has also 24% of voting intentions. The margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus.
In Belo Horizonte, the scenario repeats, pointing to a three-way tie between candidates Mauro Tramonte, the current mayor Fuad Noman, and Bruno Engler, all with 21%.
In Manaus, candidate David Almeida has 29% while Captain Alberto Neto, from the same party as former President Jair Bolsonaro, has 22%.
In Rio de Janeiro, the scenario looks like it will be resolved on Sunday (6): the current mayor, center candidate Eduardo Paes, backed by Presidente Lula, lost 5 points since the last survey but still leads the voting intentions with 54%. The same goes for Salvador, where current mayor Bruno Reis leads the polls with 74%.
As for the city of Belém, which is preparing to host COP 30 in 2025, state deputy Igor Normando leads the race for mayor with 43.7%
The race for mayor of Porto Alegre, which is still trying to rebuild after the historic floods of the first half of the year, shows a technical tie for the lead between current mayor Sebastião Melo with 32.4% and Maria do Rosário with 28.9%.
If the candidates don’t win more than half of the valid votes in cities with more than 200,000 voters, Brazilians will return to the polls on October 27 for the second and final round. Brasil de Fato will cover all the election events on Sunday.
